zaijingjiluntandexianchang,taishangdefenxirengzaijixu,guanyujinronggongjushengjidetaolunyinqilechangxiuhexiaoshanyandeguanzhu。
“shuzihuobijingzheng:jiasushuzimeiyuanshidian,duikangyangxingshuzihuobi(cbdc)tixi。zhicaijingzhunhua:liyongswifttidaixitong(rufednow)xianzhicijizhicaiwushangmengyou。”taishangdeshengyinqingxidichuanlai。
changxiuyoushoumosuozhexiaba,shuangmouweimi,yanzhongshanguoyimozhihuideguangmang,zhuantoukanxiangxiaoshanyan:“meiguozaijinronglingyudezheixieshouduan,queshibukexiaoqu……shanyan,yinizhijian,womendangruheyingdui?”
xiaoshanyanmuguangjianding,tiaoliqingxidishuodao:“jinrongzhanmeiyouwanmeifangyu,weiyourangfanjichengbengaodaoduishouwufachengshou。dangmeilianchufaxianpaoshoumeizhaidezhongguoyangxingjiaoyiyuan,zhengyongshuzirenminbigoumaiboliweiyalikuang+eluositaikongqiquanshi,bianshixintixipoxiaozhishi。”
changxiushuangshouheshiqingnianyishengfohao,kanxiangxiaoshanyandeyanshenmanshixinwei:“shanyanjianjiedudao,yigongweishou,rangduifangtoushujiqi……miaoa。”
xiaoshanyanshoudaoguli,jixushuodao:“yingduizheicishuzihuobizhanzheng,huoxuzhongguokeyijiangwaichuzhong3000dunhuangjinzhuanyunzhichengdoudixiajinku(shendu2000mi),bingqidong‘shuzizhangzhengjihua’——zaiguizhoushandongzhongxunlianaijiaoyiyuan,weiquanmiantuogouzuomorituiyan。”
changxiutingzhetadexiangfa,zanxudidiantou,meiyujianyingraozhedandandefoguang:“shanyan,nidesilvzhouquan。buguo……”tashizhiweiqutuoyuxiahe,ruoyousuosi,“cishihaixucongzhangjiyi。”
xiaoshanyanwaizhetou,wendao:“jinbenweishifouhuishoudaoshuzihuobidechongjini?”
changxiuyoushouqingfuxiahe,chenyinpianke:“jinbenweiyouqizishenjiazhi,shuzihuobichongjiyouxian。danhuobitixibiange,erzhehuoxianghuyingxiang。”
zheishi,taishangdefenxizhuanxianglemeiguoneibuzhengcedefenqi。
“1.duihuazhengcefenqi。qiangyingpai:zhuzhangquanmianxianzhiduihuagaokejitouzi(ruliangziai、shengwujishu)。wushipai:huyuzaiqihou、liangshianquanlingyubaoliuhezuotongdao。zhaiwujiejuefanganmaodun。-zengshuipai(qiyeshuishengzhi28%)vs.jinsuopai(xuejianshehuifulizhichu)。”
changxiushuangmouweimi,zhoushenqishibiandeyouxiemoce:“neibuyijianbutongyi……”taqingtanlekouqi,shensehuifuruchang,“shanyan,nijuedemeiguozheiliangpaizhizheng,huiruheyingxiangqizhengcezouxiang?”
xiaoshanyansisuopianke,huidadao:“meiguozai‘quanmianduikang’yu‘youxianhezuo’jianfanfuhengtiao,zuizhongjiangzhongguobichenggengqiangdaduishou,tongshizhaiwuzhadanzaiqineibuyinbao。”
changxiuhanshoubiaoshizantong,mianshangfuxianchubeiminzhise:“shijianyinguoxunhuan,zhongrushiyin,shourushiguo。meiguozheibanxingjing,zhongjiushiwanhuozifen。”
xiaoshanyanjiezheshuodao:“zhengru19shijiyingguoweiezhideguojueqierfadongguanshuizhan,fancuchengdeyizhijianliquanchanyelian,meiguojinriduihuaweiduzhengqinshouduanzaogengkongbudeduishou。dang2040nianshijiahuiwangshi,huojiangpingjia:‘bushizhongguodabailemeiguo,ershimeiguozaifengkuangziqiangzhongliuganlezuihouyidibaquanzhixue。’”
changxiuweiweihanshou,shuangmouzhongtouchudongxiyiqiederuizhi:“yishiweijian,keyizhixingti……”tashuangshouqingpaixiaoshanyandejianbang,yuqizhongmanhanqixu,“shanyan,niyouzheibanjianshi,weifushenganxinwei。”
xiaoshanyanzixindiyixiao:“zhongguozhixubaochizhanlvedingli+kejipapo,zaiguizhoushandongzhonglengyankanbaigongyanwanzheichu‘baquanzanglijinxingqu’——daiqinxianbengduanshi,qingfuxiujieguancanjujike。bijing,chenkerugudediguocongbuxuyaowaidi,tamenzidaiguanguoyujuemuren。”
changxiushuangshouheshi,biyanqingnianyishengfohao,zhoushensanfazhechenwendeqixi:“shanzai……zhongguozhijueqi,naishidashisuoqu。”tazuijiaoshangyang,yanzhongshanshuozhezhihuideguangmang,“meiguozhixing,kanlainishouhuopofeng。”
cishi,taishangzhuanjiayoutidaoleguojijigoudeyujing。
“guojijigouyujing(imf/shijieyinxing)。1.shuaituifengxian:ruomeilianchuweichigaolilvzhi2026nian,quanqiujingjizengsuhuodiepo2.5%。2.jianyifangxiang:-duanqi:fangkuanzhongxiaoqixindaitiaojian,zanhuanfeizhanlvexingyejiashui。-zhangqi:jijianfaanjujiao5g/dianwangxiandaihua(xu1.2wanyimeiyuanxinzengtouzi)。”
changxiushizhiquqidizhuxiaba,ruoyousuosididiandiantou:“quanqiujingjiqianyifaerdongquanshen……”tacetoukanxiangxiaoshanyan,yanshenzhongdaizhexunwen,“shanyan,yinikan,zheixiejianyishifoukexing?”
xiaoshanyanrenzhensikaohoushuodao:“zheixiefanganzaijishucengmiankexing,danzhengzhijuexinheguojixiediaocaishizhenzhengdeshijinshi。zhengcezhidingzhebixuxiangzougangsiyiyangpinghengduanqijiujiyuzhangqizhuanxing,tongshijianli‘anquanwangjizhi’——lirusheliquanqiuliudongxingchi(kuodaimftebietikuanquanguimo)huanchongmeilianchuzhengcewaiyichongji。bijingzaijingjidehandongli,jiyaojiqiyedishangnuanlu(duanqixindai),yeyaozhuajinpushedireguandao(zhangqijijian),erzheiliangjianshitongshizuohaodeyishu,jiangjuedingwomennengfoubimiannei2.5%deshuaituixuanya。”
changxiumiandaiweixiao,muguangrouhedizhushizhexiaoshanyan,qingpaishuangshou:“shanyan,nideguandianbianpiruli。nengyourucijiandi,weifushenshihuanxi。”
jinjiezhe,taishangzhuanjiakaishifenxizhongguoshijiaoxiadeguanjianqishi。
“jishuzizhu:luntanduocitijizhongguozaiguangfu、donglidianchilingyushizhanlvchao80%,jingshijishuyilaifengxian。duobianjizhi:jinzhuankuorong(shate、yilangjiaru)jiasu‘qumeiyuanhua’,xuqianghuarenminbijiesuantixi。weijiyuan:jianyixinxingguojiazengchihuangjin(2024nianquanqiuyangxinggoujinliangda1100dunxingao)。”
changxiuweiweidiantou,shenseningzhong,suihoushuangshoujiaodiezhiyutuishang,yuqipinghe:“suoyanjishi,jishuzizhuyuduobianjizhijieweizhongyao,zengchihuangjinyikezengqiangwendingxing……”takanxiangxiaoshanyan,“shanyan,niyixiaruhe?”
changxiubimuchensipianke,zaicizhengyanshiyandiduolejifenjianding:“jishuzizhukekong,huobitixiduli……rucicainengzaibianhuanmocedeguojixingshizhongzhanwenjiaogen。”
xiaoshanyanzaiyipangrenzhenlingting,yanshenzhongtouzheduiweilaijushidesikaoyudongcha,zaichangxiudeyindaoxia,tazhengyibubushenrulijiezheigefuzaduobiandejingjishijie。